November 7, 2024
In mid-October, Donald Trump made his thoughts on Russia
's invasion of Ukraine clear
: Volodymyr Zelensky should never have let that war start
.
For a conflict that has already claimed thousands of lives, left millions displaced, and caused incalculable destruction, Trump
's words sent shockwaves throughout the international community. But what exactly do they mean for Ukraine
's future
, and what does Trump
's statement signal about potential US policy in the region if he were to regain the presidency
?
At the heart of Trump
's assertion is the argument that Ukraine should have handled the conflict with Russia differently
. But what would have been an alternative, and did Ukraine truly have the means to prevent full-blown conflict
?
One key point to note is that Russia
's intentions to annex Crimea date back to 2014. Despite international condemnation, Ukraine was unable to prevent Russia
's aggressive actions
, which only escalated over time. Given this backstory, it seems reasonable to argue that preventing the current war would have required foresight and cooperation from multiple players on the international stage
.
Still, by placing the onus on Zelensky, Trump is glossing over certain facts: in a meeting several years ago, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky asked Trump to back his country, only to be met with an uncertain promise
.
Regardless of what may or may not have been possible in terms of preventing conflict, the fact remains that US support has been one of Ukraine
's biggest lifelines throughout the war
. This was something Trump openly acknowledged during his recent remarks
, noting that they provided over $100 billion in aid
, though added caveats about conditions and expectations
.
What remains to be seen is how a hypothetical second Trump presidency may affect Ukraine
. Will the new leader find value in maintaining support for Ukraine
, or will his prior reservations about involvement dictate US foreign policy in the region
?
Of course, these are questions that remain speculative until the election results are in and the potential consequences of these events become clearer in the days to come
.
But what can be said with certainty is that Ukraine is likely watching these developments closely, anxiously awaiting signals about what a potential US policy shift may mean for their relations with the international community and the future of their ongoing conflict with Russia
.
How the cards play out for Ukraine will depend greatly on their ability to maintain support in the West at a time when relations between Russia and the United States and its allies look set to remain uneasy for the time being
.
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